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Endomines - Updated ore estimate for Pampalo

Endomines announced an update in ore reserves and mineral resources. The update brings an 60% increase to Pampalo reserve ounces when comparing to the ore reserves at the end of 2021. Due to a 13% share price decline since our previous update, the company’s steady progress in accordance with the new strategy and a strong gold market, we upgrade our rating to BUY (HOLD) while maintaining our target price at EUR 6.5 (6.5).

Update increases ore reserves to 29 400 ounces of gold

The published update increases Pampalo reserves by 60% when comparing to the ore reserve status at the end of 2021. The ore reserves are doubled in ore tonnes as the open pit grades dilute the total grade, the Pampalo underground gold grades are at similar level compared to the previous ore reserve update. Most of the reserve increase comes from the underground drilling programme that was completed in 2022, the programme included 117 drill holes in total between the levels 815 and 875.

 

Visibility remains rather low

The current ore reserves in Pampalo are sufficient for roughly three years of gold production at the current production rate. The remaining production potential depends on the successfulness of the company’s exploration efforts in both Pampalo underground mine and in the Karelian gold line. The company’s mid-term target is to define over one-million-ounce gold mineralization on the Karelian gold line by the end of 2025. To reach the target, the company has started exploration drilling in the area. Despite limited visibility for exploration, the company's targeted zones, which have not been thoroughly investigated before, show promising potential.

 

BUY (HOLD) with a TP of EUR 6.5 (6.5)

We have made only slight adjustments to our SOTP-model. The increased reserves provide slightly better visibility for the production in Pampalo, on the other hand, we continue to see risks related to the value realization of the US asset portfolio. Endomines trades currently at a slight discount to its peers based on EV/Resources multiple when including the company’s historic resources (Figure 1). Due to a 13% share price decline since our previous update, we upgrade our rating to BUY (HOLD), noting however that junior gold miners entail significant risks.

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