Consti - Strong finish to the year

Q4 results were strong

Net sales in Q4 were EUR 93.3m (EUR 82.6m in Q4/21), above our and consensus estimates (EUR 85.1m/86.0m Evli/cons.). Sales growth was impressive at 12.9% y/y. Operating profit in Q4 amounted to EUR 4.8m (EUR 3.0m in Q4/21), above our and consensus estimates (EUR 3.7m/3.4m Evli/cons.) at a margin of 5.2% (3.6%). We estimated improvement in profitability y/y as the comparison period was affected by poor performance of two regional business units, yet the published figures were even stronger than anticipated. The order backlog in Q4 was EUR 246.7m (EUR 218.6m in Q4/21), up by 12.8% y/y driven by strong order intake of EUR 109.1m in Q4 (Q4/21: EUR 66.9m). Consti’s BoD proposes a dividend of EUR 0.60 per share.

Positive development expected to continue

Consti expects that the operating result for 2023 will be in the range of EUR 9.5–13.5 million. We have made small adjustments to our forecasts, our current estimate for 2023 revenue is at EUR 315.2m (EUR 303.8m) and EBIT slightly above the guidance middle point at EUR 12.3m (EUR 11.6m). The estimate adjustments are driven by the company’s order backlog, easing cost inflation and volume growth. We still see potential margin pressure coming from salary cost inflation, on the other hand, the material cost inflation is clearly slowing down.

BUY with a target price of EUR 14.0 (13.0)

We continue to see the case attractive despite the recent share price strength. The company has shown its capabilities in a difficult market, and we expect the positive development to continue. The valuation is still rather undemanding when comparing to its key peers. In addition to the favorable relative valuation, we see the company’s dividend yield attractive at the current price levels. We adjust our target price to EUR 14.0 (13.0) with BUY-rating intact.